Andre090904 hat geschrieben:Laut Don Bailey beträgt die 2019er Auflage der 1oz BU Libertad nur 200.000 Stück...
Pat Stoval is the Mexican Coin Broker on eBay.US. His father was recently departed Don Bailey.
I had lunch with Pat yesterday and he confirmed his
opinion --- 2019 BU Onza mintage will remain at 200,000 (although he actually stated 204,000). This is likely due to a combination of new bureaucracy at the mint after the 2018 election and the distraction of minting so many different coins. Assuming he is accurate, that puts 2019 BU Onza mintage at the lowest levels since 2007.
So what is the future value of the 2019 Onza?
A little more than a decade after the Casa de Moneda minted only 200,000 2007 BU Onzas we see raw coins trading as follows:
1] average condition $US40-60
2] really nice raw coins $US60-80
3] high grade MS 69 coins will trade ~$US150
I see ZERO downside in buying 2019 BU Onzas at current pricing ~$US20. In fact, I see a 4x+ return over 10 years if history repeats itself.
As for 2018, I see the same low risk downside with slightly less upside.
One man's opinion!!
MS Onza Mintage1996 300,000
1997 100,000
1998 67,000
1999 95,000
2000 340,000
2001 725,000
2002 850,000
2003 805,000
2004 450,000
2005 698,281
2006 300,0002007 200,0002008 950,000
2009 1,650,000
2010 1,000,000
2011 1,200,000
2012 746,400
2013 774,100
2014 429,200
2015 903,000
2016 1,437,500
2017 636,000
2018 300,0002019 200,000?
